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Market Bugle - by Mike Landfair

Let's Talk About Gold!

September 29th 2010 20:25
Gold


Let's talk about Gold for the moment. Gold closed today, Wednesday the 29th at $1,309.50. After bottoming at $250 in 2001, Gold is up five-fold and still there doesn't appear to be in "gold fever." From 1970 to 1980 Gold went up 24-fold from $35 to $850. An equivalent move would take us to $6,000 in 2011. No guarantees, OK!


That brings up a comment by Dan Norcini at JS Mineset about experts:

Gold is insurance against the depradations of the central banking class and the parasitical monetary authorities. Do not throw away your insurance because of another effort by some analyst or “expert” trying to make a name for himself by predicting a market top. Such people come and go as they seem to be insecure souls constantly needing some new mountain to climb in order to feel good about themselves, but they will not be around to write you a check should you be foolish enough to listen to their advice and try to time a market moving up on a crisis involving the current global monetary system. Leave the top picking to traders who sometimes get it right and sometimes get it wrong but who can run in or run out quickly enough to minimize the damage resulting from a bad call on a particular market. If you are an investor with a bit of a trading streak in you, and you get nervous about deeper corrections, you can always sell a few calls or buy a few puts for some downside protection. If the market drops you can cover those and make some money to offset the paper loss on the position but just realize you are going to have to be nimble to react fast enough in today’s warp-speed markets.


I haven't said much about Silver, but it appears that it is now the cheapest of the precious metals that is also an industrial metal. Silver is up from $8.40 in 2008 to $22 today and could trade repeat it's 50:1 silver to gold ratio. At today's Gold price, silver should be near $26 and $100 if Gold goes to $5,000.

One thing seems certain to me. The FED has embarked on a course of cheapening the dollar. The lower the dollar the more valuable the alternatives. This week 25 other countries endeavored to cheapen their currencies. It's a race to the bottom in the currency wars and most world currencies have no intrinsic value. Gold and silver have been money, are money and will be in the future.
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